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Publication details

Document type
Journal articles

Document subtype
Full paper

Title
On the external forcing of global eruptive activity in the past 300 years

Participants in the publication
J-L. Le Mouël (Author)
D. Gibert (Author)
V. Courtillot (Author)
S. Dumont (Author)
Dep. Engenharia Geográfica, Geofísica e Energia
 IDL
 J. de Bremond d'Ars (Author)
S. Petrosino (Author)
P. Zuddas (Author)
F. Lopes (Author)
J-B. Boulé (Author)
M. C. Neves (Author)
S. Custódio (Author)
Instituto Dom Luiz (IDL), Faculdade de Ciências, Universidade de Lisboa, Campo Grande, 1749–016, Lisboa, Portugal
 Dep. Engenharia Geográfica, Geofísica e Energia
 G. Silveira (Author)
Instituto Dom Luiz (IDL), Faculdade de Ciências, Universidade de Lisboa, Campo Grande, 1749–016, Lisboa, Portugal
 INSTITUTO SUPERIOR DE ENGENHARIA DE LISBOA
 V. Kossobokov (Author)
L. Coen (Author)
M. Gèze (Author)

Summary
The decryption of the temporal sequence of volcanic eruptions is a key step in better anticipating future events. Volcanic activity results from a complex interaction between internal and external processes, with time scales spanning multiple orders of magnitude. We review periodicities that have been detected or correlated with volcanic eruptions/phenomena and interpreted as resulting from external forces. Taking a global perspective and longer time scales than a few years, we approach this interaction by analyzing three time-series using singular spectral analysis: the global number of volcanic eruptions (NVE) between 1700 and 2022, the number of sunspots (ISSN), a proxy for solar activity, and polar motion (PM) and length of day (lod), two proxies for gravitational force. Several pseudo-periodicities are common to NVE and ISSN, in addition to the 11-year Schwabe cycle that has been reported in previous work, but NVE shares even more periodicities with PM. These quasi-periodic components range from −5 to −130 years. We interpret our analytical results in light of the Laplace’s paradigm and propose that, similarly to the movement of Earth’s rotation axis, global eruptive activity is modulated by commensurable orbital moments of the Jovian planets together with Pluto, whose influence is also detected in solar activity.

Date of Publication
2023-10-19

Where published
Frontiers in Earth Science

Publication Identifiers
ISSN - 2296-6463

Publisher
Frontiers Media SA

Volume
11

Document Identifiers
DOI - https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2023.1254855
URL - http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/feart.2023.1254855

Rankings
SCIMAGO Q1 (2021) - 1027 - Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous)
Web Of Science Q2 (2021) - 3.661 - GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY - SCIE
SCOPUS Q2 (2021) - 3.2 - General Earth and Planetary Sciences


Export

APA
J-L. Le Mouël, D. Gibert, V. Courtillot, S. Dumont, J. de Bremond d'Ars, S. Petrosino, P. Zuddas, F. Lopes, J-B. Boulé, M. C. Neves, S. Custódio, G. Silveira, V. Kossobokov, L. Coen, M. Gèze, (2023). On the external forcing of global eruptive activity in the past 300 years. Frontiers in Earth Science, 11, ISSN 2296-6463. eISSN . http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/feart.2023.1254855

IEEE
J-L. Le Mouël, D. Gibert, V. Courtillot, S. Dumont, J. de Bremond d'Ars, S. Petrosino, P. Zuddas, F. Lopes, J-B. Boulé, M. C. Neves, S. Custódio, G. Silveira, V. Kossobokov, L. Coen, M. Gèze, "On the external forcing of global eruptive activity in the past 300 years" in Frontiers in Earth Science, vol. 11, 2023. 10.3389/feart.2023.1254855

BIBTEX
@article{59557, author = {J-L. Le Mouël and D. Gibert and V. Courtillot and S. Dumont and J. de Bremond d'Ars and S. Petrosino and P. Zuddas and F. Lopes and J-B. Boulé and M. C. Neves and S. Custódio and G. Silveira and V. Kossobokov and L. Coen and M. Gèze}, title = {On the external forcing of global eruptive activity in the past 300 years}, journal = {Frontiers in Earth Science}, year = 2023, volume = 11 }